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2028 Election
Joshua
Manifold Politics
Premium
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
36%
Other
Yes
No
22%
JD Vance (Vice President)
Yes
No
6%
Gavin Newsom (California Governor)
Yes
No
5%
Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)
Yes
No
See 18 more answers
155
Ṁ22k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
23%
JD Vance
Yes
No
19%
Other
Yes
No
8%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
7%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
See 37 more answers
616
Ṁ160k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
25%
Other
Yes
No
24%
JD Vance
Yes
No
8%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
6%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
See 57 more answers
450
Ṁ20k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
16%
Other
Yes
No
15%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
11%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
See 77 more answers
1479
Ṁ29k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
43%
JD Vance
Yes
No
17%
Other
Yes
No
12%
Donald Trump Jr
Yes
No
5%
Donald Trump, Sr
Yes
No
See 33 more answers
545
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Democratic nominee?
31%
Other
Yes
No
14%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
13%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
9%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
See 9 more answers
131
Ṁ23k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Republican nominee?
43%
JD Vance
Yes
No
26%
Other
Yes
No
6%
Donald Trump Jr
Yes
No
5%
Donald Trump Sr.
Yes
No
See 8 more answers
265
Ṁ42k
skibidist
Mini
2028 Democratic candidate is "Trump of the Dems"?
14%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
53
Ṁ273
Scott Alexander
Plus
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
63%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
2283
Ṁ5.5k
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