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2028 Election
Joshua
Manifold Politics
Premium
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
26%
JD Vance (Vice President)
Yes
No
24%
Other
Yes
No
10%
Gavin Newsom (California Governor)
Yes
No
9%
Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)
Yes
No
See 18 more answers
136
Ṁ22k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
25%
JD Vance
Yes
No
24%
Other
Yes
No
7%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
6%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
See 34 more answers
487
Ṁ150k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
25%
JD Vance
Yes
No
23%
Other
Yes
No
7%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
6%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
See 57 more answers
414
Ṁ20k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
18%
Other
Yes
No
11%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
11%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
8%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
See 76 more answers
1136
Ṁ29k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
50%
JD Vance
Yes
No
15%
Other
Yes
No
9%
Donald Trump Jr
Yes
No
5%
Nikki Haley
Yes
No
See 33 more answers
418
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Democratic nominee?
36%
Other
Yes
No
14%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
12%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
10%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
See 6 more answers
73
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Republican nominee?
50%
JD Vance
Yes
No
27%
Other
Yes
No
5%
Nikki Haley
Yes
No
4%
Ron Desantis
Yes
No
See 6 more answers
219
Ṁ40k
skibidist
Plus
2028 Democratic candidate is "Trump of the Dems"?
19%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
50
Ṁ1k
Scott Alexander
Plus
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
54%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
2177
Ṁ5.5k
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