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2028 Election
Joshua
Manifold Politics
Premium
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
34%
Other
Yes
No
24%
JD Vance (Vice President)
Yes
No
6%
Gavin Newsom (California Governor)
Yes
No
6%
Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)
Yes
No
See 18 more answers
157
Ṁ22k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
25%
JD Vance
Yes
No
21%
Other
Yes
No
9%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
See 37 more answers
663
Ṁ160k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
25%
Other
Yes
No
25%
JD Vance
Yes
No
9%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
6%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
See 57 more answers
458
Ṁ20k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
16%
Other
Yes
No
13%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
13%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
13%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
See 77 more answers
1553
Ṁ29k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
45%
JD Vance
Yes
No
19%
Other
Yes
No
8%
Donald Trump Jr
Yes
No
5%
Tulsi Gabbard
Yes
No
See 33 more answers
577
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Democratic nominee?
31%
Other
Yes
No
14%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Yes
No
13%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
13%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
See 9 more answers
151
Ṁ23k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Republican nominee?
44%
JD Vance
Yes
No
23%
Other
Yes
No
5%
Marco Rubio
Yes
No
5%
Donald Trump Sr.
Yes
No
See 8 more answers
277
Ṁ42k
skibidist
Mini
2028 Democratic candidate is "Trump of the Dems"?
14%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
53
Ṁ273
Scott Alexander
Plus
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
74%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
2345
Ṁ5.5k
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