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AI 2025
Bayesian
What will happen in AI in 2025?
Austin
Crystal
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
80%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
2834
แน100k
Manifold
Premium
What will be the best performance on FrontierMath by December 31st 2025?
18%
0% - 35%
Yes
No
12%
35 - 40%
Yes
No
8%
40 - 45%
Yes
No
10%
45 - 50%
Yes
No
See 2 more answers
72
แน10k
Bayesian
Premium
What will be the best AI performance on Humanity's Last Exam by December 31st 2025?
1%
0-10%
Yes
No
4%
10-20%
Yes
No
13%
20-30%
Yes
No
19%
30-40%
Yes
No
See 6 more answers
59
แน15k
Bayesian
Plus
Top score on codeforces by an AI model at the end of 2025
1.1%
<2750 (OpenAI's o3 at 2727)
Yes
No
1.4%
2750-3000
Yes
No
3%
3000-3250
Yes
No
3%
3250-3500
Yes
No
See 3 more answers
34
แน1k
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