MANIFOLD
Home
US Politics
News
About
App
Sign in
Dark
Light
(auto)
LA Fire
H5N1
Trump
TikTok Ban
Biden
Cabinet
Israel
Trudeau Resigns
Hard Forkcasts 2025
OpenAI
Oscars 2025
Korea
House Speaker
Sora
Bitcoin
2028 Election
AGI Timelines
Taylor Swift
Elon/Tesla
Sama Drama
AI Math
Twitter
ACX 2024
One Piece
Music AI Race
Hard Forkasts 2024
AI 2025
Biden
Manifold Politics
PREDYX
Plus
Biden pardons Fauci?
13%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
216
Ṁ1k
Nathan Dickson
Plus
Will Joe Biden say the word “peanut” while giving Jimmy Carter’s Eulogy?
3%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
207
Ṁ1.1k
Jeff Berman
Plus
Who will Biden pre-emptively pardon before leaving office?
21%
Anthony Fauci
Yes
No
19%
Jack Smith
Yes
No
16%
Liz Cheney
Yes
No
11%
Adam Schiff
Yes
No
See 8 more answers
39
Ṁ1.2k
Jeff Berman
Plus
Who else will Biden pre-emptively pardon before leaving office?
43%
Bennie Thompson
Yes
No
27%
Jim Biden
Yes
No
12%
Pete Aguilar
Yes
No
11%
Cassidy Hutchinson
Yes
No
See 4 more answers
19
Ṁ1.1k
Johnny
Premium
Will Joe Biden resign in his first term?
1%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
1850
Ṁ10k
Jack
Plus
Will Biden be declared incapacitated under the 25th Amendment Section 4 this term?
0%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
79
Ṁ1k
jim
Premium
Will Biden finish his term?
99%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
2446
Ṁ76k
AGG
Plus
Will President Biden resign his Presidency to Kamala Harris before the newly elected President is installed in January?
1%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
60
Ṁ1k
Magnus
Plus
If Biden drops out, will he also resign during his first term?
0.1%
Biden does not drop out, does not resign
Yes
No
0%
Biden does not drop out, resigns
Yes
No
99%
Biden drops out, does not resign
Yes
No
0.8%
Biden drops out and resigns
Yes
No
226
Ṁ1k
Browse
Politics
News
About
Sign in