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Austin
Crystal
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
YES
3080
á¹€100k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
YES
370
á¹€1.8k
Sketchy
Plus
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
YES
73
á¹€1k
Jack
Plus
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
NO
186
á¹€1k
Jack
Plus
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
YES
498
á¹€11k
Forrest
Plus
Will an AI get bronze or silver (but not gold) on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
54%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
235
á¹€1.2k
Sketchy
Mini
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
YES
29
á¹€170
Ihor Kendiukhov
Premium
When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
2,027
Lower
About right
Higher
68
á¹€13k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2024?
NO
64
á¹€1k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
YES
40
á¹€1k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before 2027?
YES
62
á¹€1k
Gigacasting
Plus
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
YES
165
á¹€1.8k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
YES
52
á¹€1k
Gigacasting
Plus
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
YES
98
á¹€1.3k
Gigacasting
Plus
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?
YES
71
á¹€1k
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