MANIFOLD
Home
US Politics
News
About
App
Sign in
Dark
Light
(auto)
LA Fire
H5N1
Trump
TikTok Ban
Biden
Cabinet
Israel
Trudeau Resigns
Hard Forkcasts 2025
OpenAI
Oscars 2025
Korea
House Speaker
Sora
Bitcoin
2028 Election
AGI Timelines
Taylor Swift
Elon/Tesla
Sama Drama
AI Math
Twitter
ACX 2024
One Piece
Music AI Race
Hard Forkasts 2024
AI 2025
AI Math
Manifold AI
Google DeepMind
AI achieves silver-medal standard solving International Mathematical Olympiad problems
Breakthrough models AlphaProof and AlphaGeometry 2 solve advanced reasoning problems in mathematics
Austin
Crystal
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
82%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
2715
á¹€100k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
89%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
350
á¹€1.8k
Sketchy
Plus
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
90%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
64
á¹€1k
Jack
Plus
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
35%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
85
á¹€1k
Jack
Plus
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
80%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
50
á¹€1k
Forrest
Plus
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
86%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
196
á¹€1.2k
Sketchy
Mini
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
84%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
22
á¹€170
Ihor Kendiukhov
Premium
When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
2,027
Lower
About right
Higher
60
á¹€13k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2024?
NO
64
á¹€1k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
80%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
26
á¹€1k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2026?
84%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
50
á¹€1k
Gigacasting
Plus
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
87%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
146
á¹€1.8k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
88%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
45
á¹€1k
Gigacasting
Plus
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
90%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
96
á¹€1.3k
Gigacasting
Plus
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?
88%
chance
Bet Yes
Bet No
69
á¹€1k
Browse
Politics
News
About
Sign in